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NFL16 Cherry Picks W15: Young Guns Blazing But Stars Tom Brady, Big Ben, Eli & Aaron Stand Ready

13 Dec

Minute Waltz – NFL Week 14

Who better than Giants to play giant-killers: Packers (08/12), Patriots (08/12) and now Dak’s Dallas Cowboys (16 (2))? Oregon State Beavers (67)?

With Ryan “Rodney Dangerfield” Tannehill now out on an ACL sprain, mature Mike Moore (32, 6‘3“ (OSU)) should fill-in fine for the Fish: Career: 13-12, 60C%, 33t-28i; 2009 (CAR): 4-1, 62C%, 8t-2i.

Whatever happened to the 6-foot+ defensive back (Dillon, Barney, Krause, D.Woodson, Lott, Tunnell, Atwater, Christiansen, Lewis, Blount, Vincent, Scott, Harrison, Easley, Harris, Fencik, Browner, etcetera)? Mr. Mighty Mite loves to fire in missile-mode but just can’t cover on the catch and nobody seems to care.

Kudos to Colts Frank Gore in passing Tony Dorsett to claim #8 on AT-rush list.

— — —
winston-wc-10-8-13-d-july-3-1mThey are the Young Guns of NFL 2016.

They are the bounty of budding pro quarterbacks, aged 22 to 25, many of whom are leading their respective teams to more victories than most of us could’ve imagined just a few months back. And with every win that keeps their teams over the .500 mark, they, their teammates and teachers (coach), give their NFL fans hope for the future.

Jared Goff (Los Angeles): 22, rookie, 0-4, 54C%, 4-5
Cody Kessler (Cleveland): 23, rookie, 0-8, 66%, 6-2
Dakota Prescott (Dallas): 23, rookie, 11-2, 66%, 20-4, 4 GWD
Jameis Winston (Tampa Bay): 23, 2d-yr, 8-5, 62%, 23-12, 2 GWD
Marcus Mariota (Tennessee): 23, 2d-yr, 7-6, 62%, 25-8, 1 GWD
Carson Wentz (Philadelphia): 24, rookie, 5-8, 64%, 13-12, 1 GWD
Trevor Siemian (Denver): 24, 2d-yr, 7-4, 61%, 16-7, 2 GWD
Blake Bortles (Jacksonville): 24, 3rd-yr, 2-11, 58%, 21-15, 1 GWD
Jacoby Brissett (New England): 24, rookie, 1-1, 62%, 0-0
Jimmy Garoppolo (Patriots): 25, 3rd-yr, 2-0, 70%, 4-0, 1 GWD
Bryce Petty (New York Jets): 25, rookie, 1-1, 56%, 2-4
Derek Carr (Oakland): 25, 3rd-yr, 10-3, 64%, 24-5, 6 GWD

For signal-callers Kessler, Goff and Petty, sizable slack should be cut each as their respective teams are so discombobulated that their combined win-total wouldn’t even make double-figures (8).

carr-wc-e-drost-9-27-15-oh-1-2mBlake Bortles was dealt a similar sad hand when he took controls of Jaguars’ offense two years ago (4-12 (‘13)), a franchise that hasn‘t had a winning season since 2007. It’s a team sport, sure, but it’s also a quarterback-League and while Jags upped the win total to five (5) in 2015 they’ll be hard-pressed to match that number in 2016.

And then the New England Patriots young backups in Jim Garoppolo and Jacoby Brissett will likely need new teams if they plan on using those guns (arms) to fire off many spirals, with starter Tom Brady looking like he could be playing well into the next decade.

brady-8-28-9-k-allison-wc-cca-2m-dcThose are the guys still a bit wet behind the ears.

There are other NFL quarterbacks who clearly qualify as veterans of the game but having just entered their prime, far from that stage where a QB contemplates retirement (Roethlisberger, Romo, Cutler, Brady, etc.) and can still be fairly classified as younger guns.

Those priming pigskin professionals include Russell Wilson, Andrew Luck, Brock Osweiler, Kurt Cousins, Ryan Tannehill (5), Cam Newton and Tyrod Taylor (6).

But before you get in a tizzy about the youthful talent, remember who runs this NFL Town, Misters Ben Roethlisberger, Eli Manning, Aaron Rodgers, Joe Flacco, Matt Ryan, Andy Dalton, Phil Rivers, Carson Palmer (Romo opted-out), Sam Bradford, Matt Stafford, Drew Brees, Jay Cutler, Tom Brady and Alex Smith.

Not all those guys are playoff bound but may still play a role in deciding who does get their ticket punched for the Super Bowl tourney.

One of the best things about Brady? His arms. That’s right, his arms. Not just the tight spirals his right arm tosses but that they look normal, like your average guy, like he doesn’t spend half his life in the weight room. Best QBs work their mind more than their biceps. And they’d better with the on-rushes they face.

No doubt Tom’s in top physical form and can press close to 300, a benchmark for football men. But he’s mastered the pro game largely with his mind, not in over reliance on the muscled athleticism so much in vogue today, i.e., flash-QB.

cherries-cloth-picdrome-6-2011-thmCherry Picks Week 15

Dolphins (8-5) @ Jets (4-9): 12.17 NFLN 8:25: Miami wins
Packers (7-6) @ Bears (3-10): 12.18 Fox 1:00: Packers win
Philadelphia (5-8) @ Ravens (7-6): Fox 1:00: Ravens win
Tennessee Titans (7-6) @ Kansas City Chiefs (10-3) GTW: CBS 1:00: KC wins
Pittsburgh Steelers (8-5) @ Cincinnati Bengals (5-7-1): CBS 1:00: Bengals win
Detroit Lions (9-4) @ New York Giants (9-4) GTW: Fox 1:00: Giants win
Indianapolis Colts (6-7) @ Minnesota Vikings (7-6): CBS 1:00: Colts win
New Orleans Saints (5-8) @ Arizona Cards (5-7-1): Fox 4:05: Cardinals win
Oakland Raiders (10-3) @ San Diego Chargers (5-8): CBS 4:25: Chargers win
New England Patriots (11-2) @ Denver Broncos (8-5) GTW: CBS 4:25: Pats win
Tampa Bay Bucs (8-5) @ Dallas Cowboys (11-2) GTW: NBC 8:30: Dallas wins
Carolina Cats (5-8) @ Washington (7-5-1): 12.19 Disney 8:30: Redskins win

Record: 61 – 75 – 2

......NFL-symbol.wikiproject.6kbSteven Keys
NFL HunchLine
Photo credit: D.Prescott, wc.cca, 9.18.16, K.Allison; J.Winston, wc, D.July, 10.18.13; T.Brady, 8.28.9, K.Allison, wc, DC; D.Carr, E.Drost, wc, OH, 9.27.15; D.Carr, wc, Sgt.B.Parrish, DVIDS, USArmy, 1.31.16, PB-HI; A.Rodgers-P.Willis, wc, 9.9.12, M.Morbeck; cherries-cloth, wc, 6/11, picdrome; NFL-symbol, wikiproject
Posted: 12.13.16 @ 1:25am EST: Copyright © 2016

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NFL16 Cherry Picks W12: Who Makes Your Playoff Final Four?

25 Nov

Minute Waltz Thanksgiving

Late-game INT aside, Bradford’s value to Vikes’ roster is unquestionable;

Lions Tahir Whitehead goes John Lennon (Here, There & Everywhere): 11 solo;

Cowboys’ Sean Lee goes Paul McCartney v. Redskins with 14 tackles, 9 solo;

Cowboys half-time show: Grotesque, in the contemporary Super Bowl tradition;

Steelers @ Colts: A proven back-up QB on roster is no luxury, it’s a necessity.

Minute Waltz Week 11

brady-8-28-09-k-allison-wc-cca-862mCards miss their Sun King, Tyrann Mathieu;

Likely less than ten 1000-yard rushers in 2016;

Tannehill = Rodney Dangerfield (“no respect”);

It’s “Future Shock” for the Green Bay Packers and the Cheesehead Nation who are now fast approaching Mediocre City;

Quarterback GWD totals are driving much of the excitement this 2016 season.

The Jell-O® Four: Proof is in the Pudding

For clothing, proof is in the wear…and the wash.

manningeli-wc-4m-aj-guel-10-10-10In the culinary creations (food), the proof is in the tasting…and then the digestion (Burp!).

For football teams, evidence of a championship caliber (SB) is found in week-to-week play.

At the two-thirds mark of this NFL 2016 season there’s been plenty of game action, mettle testing from which to glean who are those top (four) contenders for hoisting the 2017 Lombardi trophy. That all making it possible for some bold predictions.

Not the Super Bowl forecast, mind you. Picking those two teams at Week 12 would be like pre-season prophecies on the Big Game, which are about as valuable as four-day old turkey. Hash it, Honey!

Instead, it’s time to select your AFC – NFC Conference championship teams for the games that often prove more competitive than the Super (Snoozer) Bowl.

roethlisberger-9-9-12-wc-cca-j-beall-3-9mTime to cut through all the crap, i.e., playoff pretenders (NFCN, AFCS champ), and settle on the four juggernauts who are just one win away from the Big “Par-taaay (D.Heffernan),” teams that’re most likely to run the gauntlet and come out Top Dog. Woof, woof!

And because it’s possible that your (my) Conference picks will face-off earlier in the PS, consider THAT game to be the championship bout between the two best with its winner making the final four, or too possible that none of your chosen CC teams at W12 will even land a playoff spot (0-4), you could end up with some sizable egg on your face when the title tussles actually kick-off in mid-January. But no risk, no reward, like if you go all Rogers Hornsby with the picks (4-for-4).

What to look for in Conference championship combatants?

1) Balance (offense / defense team rankings);

2) 1st-Team All-Pro talent at key positions;

3) ‘In good’ with the Gods (at / below League average on injuries), and

4) Small point-margins in losses. How you lose is as relevant as how you win.

wilson-2-5m-11-11-12-l-maurer-wcJuggernaut Club cues: D-mettle and composure (GWD).

2017 NFC Championship: Seattle v. Giants
2017 AFC Championship: Patriots v. Steelers

Seahawks: It’s Carrolling Time.
Giants: Gathering of veterans (Eli)
Patriots: Bill, Tom & Pax Patriotana
Steelers: Big Ben Roethlisberger

cherries-ripe-chirak-wc-605k-6-24-7Cherry Picks Week 12

Titans (5-5) @ Chicago (2-8): 11.27 CBS 1:00: Bears win
Bengals (3-5-1) @ Baltimore (5-5): CBS 1:00: Cincy wins
Cardinals (4-5-1) @ Atlanta (6-4): Fox 1:00: Arizona wins
Los Angeles Rams (4-6) @ New Orleans Saints (4-6): Fox 1:00: Saints win
San Diego Chargers (4-6) @ Houston Texans (6-4): CBS 1:00: Chargers win
Seattle Seahawks (7-2-1) @ Tampa Bay Bucs (5-5): Fox 4:05: Seahawks win
Kansas City Chiefs (7-3) @ Denver Broncos (7-3): NBC 8:30: Denver wins
Green Bay (4-6) @ Philadelphia Eagles (5-5): 11.28 Disney 8:30: Pack wins

Record: 49 -58 -2

......NFL-symbol.wikiproject.6kbSteven Keys
NFL HunchLine
Photo credit: P.Carroll, wc, K.Allison, 10.6.14; T.Brady, wc, Allison, 8.28.9; E.Manning, wc, 10.10.10, AJ.Guel; B.Roethlisberger, wc.cca, 9.9.12, J.Beall; R.Wilson, wc, 11.11.12, L.Maurer; cherries, wc, Chirak, 6.24.7; NFL-symbol, wc, wikiproject
Posted: 11.25.16 @ 1:13pm EST; Copyright © 2016

MLB16: Troutonics and the Return of Hamiltonianism

14 Mar

In a time when numerology has become the method by which every editor and marketing director in the land shapes their sport media product, a use that borders on the obsessive and snoozerific, this primordial statistic has somehow become the Rodney Dangerfield (“I don’t get no respect”) of all mathematical rods by which batsmen are measured in 2016: Runs scored.

This, even as runs account for one-half of that most basic of baseball equations: Runs scored in excess (>) of your opponent’s tally = victory. Sport simple.

But simple just won’t cut it today, so the sellers would have us believe.

.......Trout.wc.7.24.11.thm.MD.K.AllisonSuccinctness will neither get your sportswriter résumé read nor keep you in that job that requires a wherewithal for the number schemes. The more complicated the better appears the mandate.

A selling strategy that seems to prefer keeping fans mentally-barefoot and in the kitchen-of-confusion, so to speak. Tsk-tsk.

Convoluted calculations will serve the sportician – mortician by separating themselves from we of the unwashed masses, serving as a sort of secret, cliquy code. A club as it were. Whether it truly helps or not in appreciation of players and strategy or prognostication of contests is beside the point. A niche has been carved out. So the consumer overlords see it.

Do sabrmetrics actually help one to master the fantasy game? They certainly haven’t made much of an impact in the general managing profession, not if you aim for pennants (See; B.Beane (OAK ‘98-present))?

They may help one believe they’re an aid and that’s all that matters to make the register ring, cha-ching! Kind of like the philosophy of that great New Yorker, “George Costanza” of Seinfeld lore: “If you believe it’s true then it’s not a lie.”

......Beane&DePodesta.090911.GabboT.thumbWhere the deep delve into digits can assist the fantasy fan in tangible result lies in simple fact that in crunching all of the calculations it’s just as likely that helpful patterns gleaned from performance stats will have been gotten from elementary totals (runs scored, ERA, etc.) and breakdowns (home / away, lefty v. righty) as from the trendy new acronyms. Unless you sequester your survey from the primes, who’s to say it wasn’t the traditionals that didn’t shape the mind?

And try telling that to a sabrhead. Oh, brother.

Because of this modern numbers myth, the easily discernable, key figures that served box-score connoisseurs and graced the backs of cards for decades in W-L, ERA, home runs, OB%, hits, RBIs, BA, steals, etcetera, are today relegated to the nether regions of TV graphics and sporting prose or neglected altogether, to make room for the new brood of cryptic acronyms (WAR, OPS%, QBR (NFL)) that befall & befuddle most fans every spring and pompously portend to’ve finally quantified the best calculations. Sure, Simon, whatever you say.

One exception where an elementary element is still accorded respect: The home run. Think of it as the Vin Scully of statistics: Resilient and revered.

......Trout.7.22.11.thm.K.Allison.wcSince the Bambino began knocking ‘em out with a passion (1919) the round-tripper, the dinger or in former Brewers’ batsman George Scott lexicon, the “tater,” has continued to capture the national attention. And Bud Selig’s Family Fun Show & All-Star Home Run Derby Jamboree week in July has made sure it stays captured.

But there’s a new style of play on the ball diamond.

A man who upon making the major league scene in 2011 showed himself to be a throwback who knows the equation and keeps his eye on the prize: Score runs on the base-path and prevent them with the glove. His name: Mike Trout, centerfielder for the California Angels. I’m a throwback, too.

Trout is what’s known as a Hamiltonian, a rare breed in 2016.

That’s not to be confused with that early American political party named after it’s chief proponent in Alexander Hamilton, born of British West Indies who would become an aid-de-camp to General George Washington, a co-author of the Federalist Papers, our fledgling nation’s first Treasury Secretary and dueling casualty (d.1804) of then Vice President, Aaron Burr.

.....Hamilton.LoC.Goodwin.B.Edwards.1887.wc.thmAlternatively known as Federalism, a view which promoted strong central government in opposition to the Jeffersonians who were anti-elitist, pro-States and individual rights. Oh yeah, tomatoes, too. Tom also touted that lycopene-rich fruit that changed the world (See; cooking & “Michael Dorsey”).

He’s not that kind of Hamiltonian, at least not to my knowledge.

Having led the Junior Circuit in runs for three of his four full seasons in the majors, Trout is on pace to be in league with that greatest of all plate-crossers, the incomparable Billy “Sliding” Hamilton (1888 – 1901) who finished with 1697 total in just 14 seasons, bested the 140 mark six times and still holds the single-season tally of 198 runs scored.

The great Rickey Henderson (1979 – 03) bested Billy by 600 runs, compiling that figure in 25 seasons with his highest season total being 146 (‘85 (143g)).

The percheron-necked slugger from the Garden State, winner of the 2014 AL – MVP, has scored 477 runs in just four full campaigns in Anaheim and the cup of coffee (20g) he had in his first taste. That consistently high run production is even more impressive alongside a strong RBI output (397 (4y)) and nice power stroke where Mike has averaged 33 homers per and topped at 41 in 2015.

.....Trout.wc.7.23.11.K.Allison.thmTrout’s Achilles heel is lack of bat control in the S-zone.

Attitude today on batter strikeouts is essentially ‘pay no mind,’ even as opportunities are forsaken, as long as RBIs and BA run respectable. On that trend the New Jersey juggernaut runs with the pack, averaging 150+ whiffs per season. He’s in good company as Senior Circuit’s 2015 MVP and runs champ Bryce Harper (131 (118r)) and ROY Kris Bryant (199! (87r)) are free-swingers alike.

Trout: 5yrs: 2448 AB; 647 SO; .304 BA
Hamilton: 14yrs: 6283 AB; 362 SO; .344 BA

You might say, ‘It’s too different a game today to fairly compare.’ Not on making contact, it isn’t. Teams in 2016 who put the ball in play with greater regularity are more likely to win games and titles just as they were in 1894.

The world champion Kansas City Royals were ranked AL tops in fewest team SOs (973 (#1)), 2d in hits (1497 (#2)) and sixth in runs scored (724 (#6)). You need to satisfy other half of that equation (pitch) but KC computed fine there too.

....Pujols_041412_LAA_M.O'Leary.thmMike’s anchoring a Los Angeles Angels’ batting lineup short on big names, one of the few being a game but aging superstar in Albert Pujols (36). But Trout is looking to keep his season strikeout trend on downward direction (158 (‘15) / 184 (‘14)), slugging percentage strong (.590 (#1 AL)) and a fielding display that at times is downright thrilling and nearly flawless in routine (428 PO / 7A / 0E (1.000)).

If Mr. Rock Steady can avoid those career-altering injuries and keep his nose pointed to home-plate, when all is said & done he may get fans to take notice of runs again and then find himself in amongst the best of company, the GAT in career runs-scored, including Misters Henderson, Cobb, Aaron, Rose, Hamilton and his teenage sports idol, Derek Jeter. Not ♫ bad company ♫ at all.

...canned cornSteven Keys
Can o’ Corn
Photo credit: M.Trout-cap, wc.cca, 7.23.11, MD, K.Allison; Trout-fan, wc, K.Allison, 7.24.11, MD; B.Beane-DePodesta, wc, 9.9.11, GabboT; Trout, 7.22.11, wc, MD, K.Allison; B.Hamilton, LoC, B.Edwards, Goodwin, 1887, wc; Trout-gloves, 7.23.11, wc, Allison, MD; A.Pujols, wc, 4.14.12, M.O’Leary; Canned-corn.
Posted: 3.14.16 @ 2:35pm, edit 6:50 Eastern Standard Time; Copyright © 2016