Tag Archives: RIF

NFL17 Cherry Picks W10: It’s Elementary, Watson, Poise’n-In-the-Pocket Is the Cure

9 Nov

It’d be easy for Houston Texans to get gloomy about the Deshaun Watson injury, an ACL tear that occurred in practice after their W9 nail-bitter loss in Seattle.

But it’s not all doom. There is reason for hope.

The fine young field general in-the-making might actually come out the whole, long ordeal a wiser, better quarterback. Really.

The anterior cruciate ligament spans the knee. It’s tear will result from a sudden, hard twist of that joint as the foot is well grounded or caught in the turf. The knee bears weight better than it turns, as this common athletic injury attests.

Things were looking rather promising for the Texans (3-3) and their rookie starter who took to the NFL like a duck to water (61.8%, 19t-8i, 8.3 ypc), fresh off a national championship at Clemson. One complaint: The Gainesville, Georgia native is flash, a run-QB who’s a strong tendency to rabbit under pressure, a habit that carried him to many a football victory from grade school to his Carolina college but won‘t fly for long with the big boys of the pro circuit.

The glass-half-full observer can look to the Arizona Cardinals’ veteran running back Adrian Peterson as example of how a player can recover and return to top form even after an ACL tear, operation and rehabilitation.

Adrian, who, in 2017 began his first NFL season in a color other than purple after signing with Saints, only to be cut after W4, then picked up by Arizona after all-purpose David Johnson went out with a dislocated wrist, suffered his ACL tear in 2014 opener. He was back on the field in 2015, miraculously winning the NFL rushing crown with the 3rd highest season run total in his long career (07).

In 2016 Peterson suffered his 2d ACL tear on the other knee. While it’s still early and Father-Time will someday catch up to All-day, he looks to be fashioning a second miracle comeback in the Sunset State. In three games Adrian has run 74 times for 314y on a 4.2 ypc. Pretty spiffy stuff for a 2-time ACL rehabber.

The glass-half-empty set will cite Peterson’s running style (less lateral plant than run-QB Watson) and the sad case of former aspiring signal-caller Rob Griffin as examples of how the ACL rupture can change things for the worse.

RG3, as he was tagged by the junior media, took the Heisman at Baylor even as he had suffered an ACL tear in his sophomore year and was selected #2 overall in the NFL12 draft. And before DW, Griffin too would take the NFL by storm.

Entering week 14 play against Baltimore, the later-to-be-named ROY and Pro-Bowler, had led the Redskins offense to a 6-6 record. Then it happened, another knee bang. Not a tear this time but a sprain of the LCL that would mark the beginning of the end for Griffin’s professional game. He would sit out W15 but return to action to lead Washington to the Wild Card game but again tear his ACL in the loss to Seattle. There were no more high points for Robert whose last season was with Cleveland in 2016, cut short by a broken shoulder-bone.

Both the Peterson and Griffin cases point to two conclusions: 1) Modern medicine, for those who can afford it, will work wonders in orthopedic injury, and 2) every medical case is somewhat unique in its prognosis, treatment and recovery. Cost is the same, all of it high, but outcomes are hard to predict.

On return to the playing field, Watson will need to make quick adjustments: Changes in his mental approach to the game.

First off, he must ditch the flash form of quarterback play (3-3, 36r – 269y) and learn for the first time in his career, pocket poise, finding the tenacity to take the hits behind-the-line as they come and where he’ll have more means to handle the blows. Why: 1) rabbit will expose his knees to greater risk of injury downfield where funny footing is more likely and defender hits can be more damaging, and 2) poise’n-in-the-pocket will force Deshaun into RIF, ‘reading is fundamental.’ The best field generals in the pro-ranks are read proficient.

Some QBs use their top physical skills in arm strength, accuracy and mobility behind the line to find time to read the defense and find gaps. Others use their fluid-intellect and 20/20 vision to make-up for lesser physical traits. Run-QB is typically weak on defensive vocabulary and in every NFL case so far has failed to make the adjustment. It’s like learning a whole new language as an adult: Very difficult. The best hope: Complete commitment and immersion.

In the long run the poise’n pro-style is the better way of NFL quarterbacking, affording a longer career for the player, happier fans in point totals & wins and then more hardware for everyone involved, MVPs and rings (See; Brady, Big-Ben, Rodgers). And as flash QB will keep dominating in the college ranks on its great success by Heismans, CFP titles and perpetuation of coaching-lite, the disconnect between the pro and amateur QB styles with remain.

But maybe most important of the mental adjustments will be that Deshaun regains his former confidence. This holds true for his coaching staff as well, that they too find confidence again in their former QB. And they must keep in mind that Peterson didn’t have to learn a new language as will their man Watson.

NFL17 Cherry Picks Week 10

Seattle @ Arizona: 11.9 NBC 8:25: Hawks
Packers @ Chicago: 11.12 Fox 1:00: Bears
Los Angeles Bolts @ Jags: CBS 1:00: LA
New Orleans @ Buffalo: Fox 1:00: Saints
NewYorkJets @ Buccaneers: CBS 1:00: TB
Vikings @ Washington: Fox 1:00: Redskins
Cincinnati @ Tennessee: Fox 1:00: Cincy
Cowboys @ Atlanta: Fox 4:25: Falcons
New York @ SanFrancisco: Fox 4:25: NYG
Miami @ Carolina: 11.13 Disney 8:30: Cats

Record: 38 – 27

Steven Keys
NFL HunchLine
Photo credit: NFL-symbol, wikiproject, 2011; D.Watson, wc.cca, 1.10.16, Atlanta-Falcons; A.Peterson, wc, 1.28.12, Arvee5.0; R.Griffin, wc, L.Boyd, M.Green, USMC – NYC, 4.26.12; cherries, B.Kua, 6.1.08; J.Otto, TCG, 1970
Posted: 11.9.17 @ 3:20pE; Copyright © 2017

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NFL17 Pre-Play: Nobody Bullied the Beav and No One Needles the NFL, Kaep Krew

9 Aug

If you’re an NFL fan or root for Colin Kaepernick, not always mutually exclusive mental states, and feed those foibles by perusing online sport sites, you’ll know it has become common in recent years for certain players to have developed a cult-like following amongst the media, junior scribes, in particular. Individually, five names have received more press than probably every player combined, excepting Broadway Joe, of course, since the National went on-wire in 1920:

1) Johnny Manziel
2) Tim Tebow
3) Michael Sam
4) Colin Kaepernick
5) Richard Sherman

At this posting only one of the five, Sherman, has a job with our nation’s new national pastime (When a home run derby is your showcase event of the season, there’s big trouble) and soon to become international funfest (See; London).

Of the other four, it’s possible Manziel and Kaepernick could get a call for a 2017 quarterback tryout as injuries begin to mount in the League on commencement of training camps and contact. But that’s becoming more doubtful as the recent rapid-signing in Miami of free-agent QB Jay Cutler and longer-than-expected list of somewhat suspect number (#) ones (Kessler (CLE), McCown (NYJ), Hoyer (SF), Taylor (BUF), Glennon (CHI), Siemian (DEN), Savage (HOU)) penciled-in for 2017 strongly suggests about both their desirability.

For Tebow, who last played with the Jets in 2012, the chance of an NFL return is nearly nil. Tim’s rather particular (prideful), shunning CFL and tight-end talk, a spot for which he was tailor-made. Same holds true for Sam (nil) who never made a roster after being drafted late in 2014 (7 / 249), having two tryouts (STL / DAL), an invite to a combine and a brief suit-up with Montreal (CFL). Mike does, for some reason, have his own page at PFR.com, sans the Alouettes.

None of those deactivated states has stopped certain media from alternatively appeasing (groupies) or depressing (fans of sport) readers with a steady stream of stories seemingly designed to persuade, cajole or bully the League, its owners and neutral fans into giving three of the four another shot at the big time.

But “Eddie Haskell” couldn’t bully “Beaver Cleaver,” Reid & Pelosi couldn’t bully Dan Snyder, his Washington Redskins and the American Indian rank & file (See; WP “9 of 10” poll (2016)) and nobody bullies the NFL to decide who it hires and who it doesn’t. An exception: Ray Rice and women’s advocacy. The ex-Raven’s rehab appears real but his stigma sticks: Video is video, thanks to TMZ (ugh).

If you think that’s a poor analogy, then you never knew Leave It to Beaver (1957-63). It’s impact on Americana made Vince Lombardi’s power sweep look almost happenstance. And if you don’t know the sweep (Kramer – Gregg) you’d best bone up. Start in State of Ohio, then find George Halas (IL) and go from there.

Michael Sam

When Sam told the nation of his homosexual orientation just prior to the 2014 NFL draft, likely hoping to forestall his stock drop to a level so low he feared being undrafted entirely, his act was lauded by captured media as socially significant. It might have been more accurately called a self-serving act of leverage. A League that would appear unwelcoming to the first openly gay pro football player, college skill-set aside, might suffer a consumer backlash, so the Suits & Skirts may’ve thunk. Sam gets the call late from a Rams club seeking a re-location vote, then a tryout from affable Jerry Jones who is always looking for new renters (AT&T). The NFL looked open-minded, Sam got his cup o’ Gatorade® and everybody felt a little cheated.

Colin Kaepernick

Sherman recently claimed Kaepernick is being blackballed on his race. But that won’t fly. The NFL’s composition is overwhelmingly African-American. Others claim jingoism is motivating CK’s critics, arising from what appeared an anthem protest on police brutality, suspiciously timed as the former 49er’s starter-string in San Francisco looked to’ve run out. But America was born on protest (Stamp Act 1765). Refusing to stand at attention for the flag ceremony is disfavored but not necessarily offensive to most citizens of these United States. What owners may’ve found abhorrent (Tuesday nite ESPN reports Giants’ owner John Mara likes the Milwaukee-native to suit-up somewhere in the NFL for 2017) were Colin’s racist white pig socks. It doesn’t have to be a forgiveable act but until Kaepernick takes responsibility, even a re-signing won’t make him legitimate.

What if nobody comes calling from the NFL, where does Colin go from there? Oprah? That’d be nice, for him, when he and his co-author get a book done (I don’t know Dick’s writing skills but he does like a by-line (See; SI.com)). And believing in something (faith) is not enough. Wisdom, and no small amount of courage, do both matter. Protest can be passionate, or it can be theater if it lacks heart & soul (truth). And he can forget about autograph shows, they’re pro-diversity and patriotic, but the NBA célébrité will always be welcoming.

John Manziel

Johnny Football: He never did earn that moniker. Jon thought talent was the trick. So did Todd Marinovich, “Robo-QB.” He could matriculate in a typhoon but made drugs his love. Manziel could’ve been the greatest college quarterback in history but made booze his squeeze. We don’t really know anything’s changed at this posting. For a run-QB who never learned to take hits in the pocket, THE pro skill, Johnny Skittles can’t afford to have fun being stupid any longer. Like Colin, Jon never respected the game, or the business. That won’t be tolerated, not by owners, players, coaches, real fans or the almighty Sponsors.

Tim Tebow

It’s curious, Tim may be the only NFL signal-caller to have, in his one near-full campaign under center (2014 Denver), compiled a better than .500 record (7-4), led the most captivating team win-streak in recent memory (6-0), won a road playoff game (@ Pittsburgh) on a GWD touchdown strike, yet, the next season, be ungraciously traded away (Jets) where, for one season, he finished his brief career in a non-QB job as a decoy flanker-back (?). Curious, indeed.

Tebow’s fandom is still vast, kept current with his baseball venture in the Mets minors, one most likely to end in the same fashion to that of his pro football career when (if) on promotion he meets that “wicked” major league curveball, known to derail & dash many a career (See; Bull Durham (88)).

Most scribes never did subscribe to the Book of Timbo, hence, never did promote his cause for return. Bart Simpson just won’t rock to Christian hip-hop. Like all run-QBs, Tim’s skill-set proved limited (47.9 C%). But other wily field generals have too relied heavily on stoking emotional fires to wins & careers, Billy Kilmer comes to mind (1967: 10g, 47.5%, 0-4, 6t-11i (16y)), and Tim, had he been NFL retained, would’ve most likely seen his skill-set progress at least in the manner of fellow flashman CK: Never top tier (Brady / Moon) but a sufficiency to roster. And then nobody put fans in the seats, stadium and home, like Tebow did. The reality for the NFL is that flash-QB, with all his shortcomings (rabbit, RIF-fail), is here to stay, given his popularity in college by great success (titles / Heismans) and facilitator of coach-lite: Just give the Kid the ball and count the wins.

Steven Keys
NFL HunchLine
Photo Credit: NFL-wikiproject, Ixnay-Beao; C.Kaepernick, wc.cca, 10.27.13, D.Hartwig; M.Sam, wc, ED.Drost, 8.23.14; Starlito-T.Tebow-L.Garrett, wc, 11.1.12; J.Manziel, Kyle-Field, wc, shutterbug459, 10.20.12; J.Marshall, Topps, 1970.
Posted: 8.9.17 @ 12:39a EST, edit 8.10; Copyright © 2017

NFL15 Cherry Picks W17: “Uncertain Glory”

31 Dec

“O, how this spring of love resembleth
The uncertain glory of an April day,
Which now shows all the beauty of the sun
And by and by a cloud takes all away!”

....deVere.1575.Brown&Harding.wc.thumbTwo Gentlemen of Verona
“Proteus,” A.1, S.III, Shake-a-Spear (Ed de Vere (1550-04))

Surprised? Don’t be. Everything’s connected, right? Right.

And it’s that uncertainty of success that hovers over every team in this topsy-turvy NFL15 like a building cumulus.

Yet there are certainly front-runners. Vikes, the Jets, Pittsburgh all inspire healthy optimism but none is without at least a few serious question marks (?).

Injury-laden rosters are a commonality in December. It’s a sorry state that enlists all 32 teams to a war of attrition and will make onlookers-in-prognosticate, hesitate, especially when key cogs go down, i.e., C. Johnson & Mathieu (Arizona), Blount & Edelman (New England), Lynch & Rawls (Seattle).

But other clubs have deeper concerns entering the playoffs, making their “path(way) to glory” an uncertain one.

Carolina Panthers

......Newton.9.28.14.wc.K.Allison.thmRon Rivera’s Panthers are 1-2 in playoff games, losing at home to San Fran in the 2014 NFC divisional (23-18) and last January taking out a Palmer-less Arizona in the wild-card before getting bounced by Seattle (31-17).

Fifth-year field general Cam Newton is a bona-fide MVP candidate in 2015 (#4). He’s also a bona-fide flash QB and it may be his and his team’s undoing. Cam’s rising rabbit-habit red flags (9a+ per). With one regular game remaining (TB) the Carolina signal-caller is likely to surpass his career mark for rush attempts in a season (127 (‘12)) and may pass the 700 yard mark for the third time (626).

Every time a QB runs up field for a gain he loses, sometimes necessarily, an opportunity to hone his passing trade, an artisan’s craft that will be called upon and tested-in-full in critical times against the toughest opponents, as fellow run-QB Colin Kaepernick discovered to his detriment in SB47 and NFCC (‘14): Pass-challenged. RIF: Reading (D) is fundamental.

Kansas City Chiefs

....Reid.wc.USAF.SgtSTSturkol.thm.8.6.08If by the end of W6 (1-5) you weren’t seriously wondering whether Andy Reid would be back for 2016, especially with the late-season slumps KC’s had since he arrived (2-5 (’13), 2-4 (’14)), then you’ve not been paying attention.

Remembering the lose of all-purpose Jamaal Charles (ACL) in W5 action and it all makes this 2d-season 2015 renaissance in Kansas City just that much more terrific and unexpected.

A schedule that has not been ‘toughest this side of the Pecos (PIT win (W7) was Ben-less)’ has played it’s part in the win-streak (9), though, fair to write that some of similar slate have found ways to lose (See; NYG, CHI, NO, MIA, etc.). Like the Panthers & Cincinnati Bengals (Lewis 0-5), playoff wins have been elusive of late for Kansas City and a W will go a long way to certify them as mettle-grade.

Green Bay Packers

....Rodgers.wc.cca.M.Morbeck.08.thumbNFL fans have a soft spot for QBs. Good ones. They’re not easy to find. It’s a quarterback game, ever since Cleveland signal-caller Otto Graham and coach Paul Brown teamed-up in the late 40s and turned the football world on it’s head.

The Pack has a dandy in reigning MVP Aaron Rodgers. He fell out of contention for back-to-backs as GB took some serious hits along with his stat-line, but he, like his predecessor in Favre, always makes his team a contender.

Sometimes we’re blinded by the brilliance of a quarterback, overlooking his and surrounding shortcomings. Such has been the case in recent times with names like Rivers, Brees, Eli Manning and Jay Cutler, highly skilled practitioners of the art-form who make their struggling squads look better than they actually are. Those four alone may account for 15-20% of my poor picks in 2015 (whine).

Packers and Mike McCarthy have done it all (SB45) and represent the National’s standard-bearer franchise (Pats AFC). But there’s something seriously wrong with the formula in 2015 (See; AZ) and if they can’t brainstorm an answer soon the purple’s gonna’ rain at Lambeau in 2016 (1.3).

Guiding Line

“Fortune is ally to the brave (“Zeus (Olivier),” Clash of the Titans (‘81))”

Baker’s Crazy-Dozen

....baker.M.Andaya.USS.JC.Stennis.11.7.06.PJ.Perkins.thmIn Week 16 action, Seattle lost to a 6-8 Rams, GB lost like a 4-10 (AZ), Cats cave to a 7-7 Falcons (an earlier loss could’ve been beneficial but this late-in-the game, a perfect record (16-0) would’ve been a plus), Steelers lose by 3 to an intra-rival (BAL 4-10), Pats lost in OT to a 9-5 they might’ve won had Bill not over-thunk it (elect to kick) and homer KC squeaks by CVD. That leaves AZ, the Rodney Dangerfield of NFL (“no respect“), as the no-brainer #1 tab.

Some had AZ at or near #1 for some time now (“Hail (Arians)!”). I say, welcome.

In pre-playoff ranks, experience and quality-of-play, not just W-L, matter much.

1. AZ
2. NE
3. CIN*
4. PIT
5. SEA
6. DEN*
7. GB
8. CAR
9. NYJ
10. MIN
11. KC
12. HOU
13. Tie: ATL & DC
* Presumes Dalton & Peyton make full returns for their team’s playoff openers.

...cherries.ripe,thm.wc.Chirak.6.24.7

Cherry Picks Week 17: Predicting Inconsistency

NYJ (10-5) @ Buffalo (7-8), 1.3 CBS 1:00: Jets win
Patriots (12-3) @ Miami (5-10), CBS 1:00: Pats win
Saints (6-9) @ Falcons (8-7), Fox 1:00: Atlanta wins
Lions (6-9) @ Chicago (6-9), Fox 1:00: Detroit wins
Philadelphia (6-9) @ NYG (6-9), Fox 1:00: Giants win
Redskins (8-7) @ Cowboys (4-11), Fox 1:00: Dallas wins
Titans (3-12) @ Indianapolis (7-8), CBS 1:00: Colts win
Ravens (5-10) @ Cincinnati (11-4), CBS 1:00: CIN wins
Steelers (9-6) @ Cleveland (3-12), CBS 1:00: Pitt wins
Jaguars (5-10) @ Houston (8-7), CBS 1:00: Texans win
Raiders (7-8) @ KC (10-5), CBS 4:25 (GTW3): OAK wins
Chargers (4-11) @ Denver (11-4), CBS 4:25: Broncos win
Buccaneers (6-9) @ Carolina (14-1), Fox 4:25: Cats win
Seahawks (9-6) @ Cards (13-2), Fox 4:25 (GTW): AZ winw
St. Louis (7-8) @ San Francisco (4-11), Fox 4:25: 49ers win
Minnesota (10-5) @ GB (10-5), NBC 8:30 (GTW2): GB wins

Record: 89 – 90

...NFL-symbol.wikiproject.6kbSteven Keys
NFL HunchLine
Photo credit: Ed.deVere, wc.cca, T.Cooper-YUP, Brown&Harding, 1575+; C.Newton, 9.28.14, K.Allison, wc; A.Reid, wc, USAF, Sgt.ST.Sturkol, 8.6.08; A.Rodgers, wc, 2008, M.Morbeck; baker, wc, M.Andaya, USS.Stennis, 11.7.06, PJ.Perkins; cherries-ripe, wc, Chirak, 6.24.7; NFL-symbol, wikiproject
Posted: 12.31.15 @ 4:23pm, edit 7:06 EST; Copyright © 2015